Thursday, February 5, 2026

Spatial Epidemiology of Agrochemical Exposures and Chronic Pathologies: A Multidimensional Analysis of Pesticide Use, Oncological Trends, and Parkinsonian Clusters in the United States


The relationship between the large-scale application of synthetic chemicals and the incidence of chronic, life-altering diseases represents a critical intersection in modern environmental health and spatial epidemiology. As the United States continues to rely on intensive agricultural practices to sustain national and global food systems, the collateral impact of chemical drift, water contamination, and occupational exposure has become increasingly evident in public health data. By synthesizing high-resolution mapping from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), and recent large-scale epidemiological cohorts such as the Willis et al. (2022) study, a complex geographic narrative emerges. This narrative suggests that the distribution of pesticides is not merely a marker of agricultural productivity but a significant predictor of regional clusters for cancer and neurodegenerative disorders, particularly Parkinson’s disease.

The Geospatial Matrix of Agrochemical Utilization

The foundation of any spatial analysis regarding environmental health must begin with the accurate quantification and mapping of the toxicological load present in the environment. In the United States, this task is primarily spearheaded by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) through its Pesticide National Synthesis Project.1 The USGS methodology represents a sophisticated integration of diverse data streams, combining farm survey pesticide use data with harvested-crop acreage figures provided by the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA).1 This process allows for the generation of county-level estimates that reveal the "pesticide pressure" exerted on specific geographic regions annually.

As illustrated in the primary data visualizations, pesticide use in the United States is characterized by intense concentration in specific agricultural corridors. The highest application rates are found in the Midwestern "Corn Belt," the Mississippi River Valley, and the Central Valley of California.1 These regions are dominated by monocultures of corn, soybeans, cotton, and specialty crops that require consistent and heavy chemical intervention to mitigate pest pressure and maximize yields. The longitudinal data suggests that from 2013 to 2017, the United States utilized more than half a billion pounds (approximately kilograms) of pesticides annually.5 This volume includes over 400 different compounds, each with varying degrees of persistence, mobility, and toxicity.5

Annual Agricultural Pesticide Volume and Distribution (2013-2017)


Chemical Compound

Primary Crop Application

Estimated Annual Pounds (US)

Geographic Concentration

Glyphosate

Corn, Soybeans, Cotton

280,000,000 6

Midwest, Mississippi Valley

Paraquat

Soybeans, Cotton, Grapes

Doubled in last decade 7

Central Valley, SE Texas, Midwest

Atrazine

Corn, Sugar Cane, Sorghum

High Persistence 6

Corn Belt, Florida

Chlorpyrifos

Fruits, Nuts, Vegetables

High Neurotoxicity 8

California, Pacific Northwest

Isoxaflutole

Corn

600,000 9

Upper Midwest

The trends in pesticide application are not static; they evolve in response to changes in farming practices, the emergence of chemical-resistant weeds and insects, and shifts in regulatory policy. For instance, while the use of certain organochlorines was phased out due to their extreme environmental persistence, they were often replaced by organophosphates and synthetic pyrethroids, which, while less persistent in the soil, exhibit high levels of acute and chronic toxicity to the human nervous system.8 The upcoming publication of the 2018-2022 USGS final estimates in 2026 is expected to provide a critical update on whether the total chemical load has stabilized or continued its upward trajectory.2

Oncological Trends and Regional Incidence Patterns

The second layer of the epidemiological triad is the mapping of cancer incidence. According to the CDC, the United States reported 1,851,238 new cancer cases in 2022.11 When these cases are mapped at the county level, a distinct geographic pattern emerges that overlaps significantly with areas of historical and current pesticide application, as well as regions with industrial legacies. The "middle map" of the primary visualization demonstrates that cancer rates are not uniform; they are particularly elevated in the Southeastern United States, the Mid-Atlantic, and specific pockets within the Midwest.12

The correlation between pesticide exposure and cancer is supported by a growing repository of over 2,600 epidemiologic and laboratory studies within the Pesticide-Induced Diseases Database.10 These studies document elevated rates of leukemia, non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL), and cancers of the brain, bladder, colon, lung, and pancreas among populations with high environmental or occupational exposure to agrochemicals.10 The association is especially pronounced for residents near agricultural land where "pesticide pressure" is high. For example, 63 percent of commonly used lawn pesticides and 70 percent of pesticides used in schools are linked to cancer, suggesting that the risk is not confined to the farm gate but extends into suburban and educational environments.10

Comparative Cancer Incidence Metrics by Region (2017-2021)


Geographic Unit

Cancer Site

Age-Adjusted Rate (per 100k)

National/State Context

United States (Total)

All Sites

430-450 (Est.) 11

National Baseline

Southeastern US

All Sites

550-610 12

Highest Regional Cluster

Fresno County, CA

Colorectal

32.0 13

Lower than CA State Value (33.5)

Cherokee County, OK

Colorectal

40.3 14

Worse than OK State Value (36.4)

Dane County, WI

Colorectal

29.9 15

Significantly better than US Value

The analysis of cancer rates by Congressional District reveals that incidence can range from approximately 320 to over 600 new cases per 100,000 persons per year.12 While smoking and socioeconomic factors are traditionally cited as the primary drivers of these disparities, recent models that incorporate latent-class pesticide use patterns suggest that for certain malignancies, the association with pesticide use is comparable to that of tobacco use.10 This insight underscores the need for a more holistic assessment of environmental cancer risk, as highlighted by the 2010 President’s Cancer Panel report, which concluded that the "grievous harm" from carcinogenic chemicals has been significantly underestimated in national policy.10

The Accelerating Incidence of Parkinsonian Disorders

Perhaps the most alarming trend identified in recent research is the surge in Parkinson’s disease (PD) incidence. For decades, PD was estimated to affect approximately 60,000 new patients annually in the United States. However, the 2022 Willis et al. study, supported by the Parkinson’s Foundation and the Michael J. Fox Foundation, revealed that the actual number is nearly 90,000—a 50% increase.16 This study, which analyzed five distinct epidemiological cohorts representing over 9 million person-years, provides the most comprehensive assessment of PD incidence in North America to date.18

The "bottom map" of the primary visualization displays the geographic distribution of this burden, identifying a persistent spatial clustering of incident PD diagnoses known as the "Parkinson’s Belt." This belt is not a single contiguous line but a series of regional hotspots where environmental, industrial, and demographic factors converge. These hotspots include the "Rust Belt" of the Northeast and Midwest, Southern California, Southeastern Texas, Central Pennsylvania, and Florida.16

Geographic Hotspots of the "Parkinson’s Belt"


Region

Key High-Incidence Areas

Primary Environmental/Economic Drivers

The Rust Belt

Ohio, Michigan, Illinois, Indiana

Industrial manufacturing, legacy chemical use 16

Southern California

Kern, Fresno, Tulare Counties

Intensive agriculture, high Paraquat use 21

Southeastern Texas

Gulf Coast Region

Petrochemical industry, specialized agriculture 17

Central Pennsylvania

Agricultural/Industrial Corridor

Pesticide drift, industrial runoff 17

Florida

Orchards, Residential Turf Care

Intensive herbicide use, aging population 20

The variation in PD incidence is striking. While age remains the primary risk factor—with rates increasing significantly in the 65-84 and 85+ age brackets—the geographic location of an individual appears to modify this risk significantly.18 For example, PD incidence in males over 65 was found to be 1.5 to 2.0 times higher in regions with high industrial or agricultural activity compared to the Mountain West or the far Northwest.16 This geographic disparity suggests that Parkinson’s is not merely a disease of aging but one of environmental interaction, where long-term exposure to toxic chemicals fuels the progression of the disease.23

Toxicological Mechanistics: Carcinogenesis and Neurodegeneration

The biological plausibility of the observed correlations is reinforced by laboratory evidence detailing how specific chemical classes interact with human cellular processes. The "silent spring" described by environmental advocates has evolved into a well-documented cascade of biochemical disruption that affects both the neurological and oncological health of exposed populations.

Paraquat and the Substantia Nigra

Paraquat is a primary suspect in the rise of Parkinson’s disease. Its structural similarity to (), the toxic metabolite of the neurotoxin , allows it to cross the blood-brain barrier and enter dopaminergic neurons.21 Once inside these cells, Paraquat induces oxidative stress by generating reactive oxygen species (ROS), leading to the hallmark symptoms of Parkinsonism: tremors, rigidity, and bradykinesia.7 The PEG study in California found that individuals living or working near fields where Paraquat was applied had a 1.64-fold to 2.15-fold increase in PD risk.21

Organophosphates, Pyrethroids, and Neurodevelopment

While Paraquat is linked to adult-onset neurodegeneration, other chemicals such as pyrethroids and organophosphates (e.g., Chlorpyrifos) target the developing nervous system. Roughly 22% of mothers report pesticide use in their homes during the early months of their children's lives.10 Exposure during this period is associated with a 1.30 odds ratio for developmental delays and a significant increase in the risk of ADHD.10 Furthermore, these chemicals are identified as nerve toxins that can disrupt motor development and learning well into adolescence.8

PFAS, BPA, and "Forever Chemical" Interactions

The toxicological landscape is further complicated by the presence of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) and plasticizers like bisphenol A (BPA). PFAS exposure has been linked to a nearly 200% increase in infant mortality and significant hormonal disruption.8 Meanwhile, BPA and its "safer" substitutes (BPS and BPF) were responsible for over 127 million cases of obesity and metabolic syndrome globally in 2024, creating a baseline of metabolic vulnerability that may exacerbate the effects of other environmental toxins.8

Economic Burdens and Public Health Economics

The health burden of environmental chemical exposure is matched by a staggering economic cost. Synthetic chemicals in the global food system are estimated to create a health burden of $2.2 trillion per year.8 In the United States, the focus on Parkinson’s disease alone reveals an annual cost of $52 billion, a figure projected to reach $80 billion by 2037.16 These costs encompass direct medical care, lost productivity for patients, and the massive unpaid labor of caregivers.

Economic Impact Assessment of Chronic Disease in the US


Disease Category

Annual Economic Cost (US)

Projected Future Cost

Primary Cost Drivers

Parkinson’s Disease

$52 Billion 16

$80 Billion (2037) 16

Specialty care, long-term care, lost wages

Cancer (All Types)

Hundreds of Billions

Rising with Incidence

Chemotherapy, surgery, hospitalization

ADHD/Neurodevelopmental

Multi-Billion

Generational Impact

Special education, therapy, productivity loss

Metabolic/BPA-linked

Multi-Billion

Global Burden

Obesity, Type 2 Diabetes management

The societal decision to allow the continued use of hazardous substances like Paraquat—which has been banned in over 70 countries including China and the EU—is essentially an economic trade-off.7 While these chemicals may reduce short-term agricultural input costs, the long-term externalities in the form of healthcare spending and human suffering are borne by the public and the state-funded healthcare systems.17

Methodological Disparities and Research Heterogeneity

A critical aspect of interpreting these maps and data points is understanding the methodology behind them. The Willis et al. (2022) study highlighted that PD incidence estimates varied for many reasons, including how cases are identified.16 Administrative datasets, such as those from Medicare or Ontario health records, typically produce higher incidence rates because they rely on diagnostic algorithms and prescription data.18 Conversely, clinical cohorts like the Rochester Epidemiology Project (REP) often show lower rates because they require a high degree of specialist confirmation.18

Similarly, the definitions of "rurality" and "pesticide exposure" can vary across studies. Some researchers focus on occupational exposure among farmers, while others utilize satellite land-use data to estimate ambient exposure for residential populations.21 This heterogeneity is why map-based studies, such as the one in the Netherlands, sometimes fail to show clear clusters despite the known risk of pesticides; individual exposure can vary greatly even within a single high-use region.25 However, the "Parkinson’s Belt" identified in the US remains a robust finding across multiple datasets, suggesting that the scale of exposure in American industrial and agricultural hubs is high enough to overcome these methodological variances.18

Conclusion: Synthesis and Future Outlook

The spatial correlation between pesticide use, cancer rates, and Parkinson’s disease in the United States provides a compelling case for the role of environmental factors in the nation's chronic disease epidemic. The "pesticide pressure" visible in the Midwest and California’s Central Valley creates a landscape of exposure that matches the high incidence of neurodegeneration and specific malignancies. The Willis et al. (2022) study’s revelation that PD incidence is 50% higher than previously estimated serves as a "call to action" for lawmakers to implement policies that reduce the environmental burden of these chemicals.17

Moving forward, the implementation of a comprehensive national Parkinson’s registry and the continued refinement of USGS pesticide maps will be essential for identifying and mitigating toxic hotspots.20 Furthermore, the transition toward organic agricultural systems and the banning of acutely lethal substances like Paraquat could significantly alter the trajectory of these diseases.7 As the evidence continues to clarify the link between "what is in the water" and "what is in our genes," the mandate for a precautionary approach to chemical regulation becomes not only a matter of public health but one of economic and ethical necessity.8

Works cited

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  2. USGS NAWQA: The Pesticide National Synthesis Project, accessed February 5, 2026, https://water.usgs.gov/nawqa/pnsp/usage/maps/

  3. Estimated Annual Agricultural Pesticide Use for Counties of the Conterminous United States, 2013-17 (ver. 2.0, May 2020) | U.S. Geological Survey - USGS.gov, accessed February 5, 2026, https://www.usgs.gov/data/estimated-annual-agricultural-pesticide-use-counties-conterminous-united-states-2013-17-ver-20

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  13. Indicators :: Colorectal Cancer Incidence Rate - Healthy Fresno County Data, accessed February 5, 2026, https://www.healthyfresnocountydata.org/indicators/index/view?indicatorId=221

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  16. New Study Shows the Incidence of Parkinson's Disease in the U.S. is 50% Higher than Previous Estimates, accessed February 5, 2026, https://www.parkinson.org/about-us/news/incidence-2022

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Spatial Epidemiology of Agrochemical Exposures and Chronic Pathologies: A Multidimensional Analysis of Pesticide Use, Oncological Trends, and Parkinsonian Clusters in the United States

The relationship between the large-scale application of synthetic chemicals and the incidence of chronic, life-altering diseases represents ...